Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Afraad
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 To The Rescue 4 58.5 1 0.00 3.5 79 65 79 +0 2 Douglas Dragon 3 59.0 2 0.50 7.0 80 65 70 -10 3 Afraad 8 59.5 3 1.50 0.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Nuclear Force 5 55.5 4 4.00 0.0 71 68 68 -3 5 Arlington Action 6 59.0 5 4.05 0.0 78 75 75 -3 6 Banha Bridge 5 59.0 6 6.80 0.0 81 73 73 -8 7 Weather Wizard 3 59.5 7 99.99 7.0 81 60 71 -10 99 Libeccio 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | To The Rescue | 79 | 82 | 79 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Douglas Dragon | 80 | 89 | 70 | +19 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Afraad Line | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Nuclear Force | 71 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Arlington Action | 78 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Banha Bridge | 81 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Weather Wizard | 81 | 81 | 71 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Libeccio | - | 62 | 65 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points