Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: RACING TODAY MAIDEN PLATE (For Maidens. R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Hat Man
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Crowned Hornbill 2 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 75 60 60 -15 2 Greenlight Express 3 60.0 2 4.25 5.0 70 57 60 -10 3 Winter In Paris 4 57.5 3 4.75 6.0 66 50 56 -10 4 Silvery Surfer 3 60.0 4 5.50 5.0 - 57 57 +57 5 Serendipitous 3 57.5 5 5.75 5.0 70 52 60 -10 6 Hat Man 4 60.0 6 6.00 6.0 55 55 55 +0 7 Brooksider 3 60.0 7 7.25 5.0 71 57 61 -10 8 Tornado King 3 60.0 8 7.75 5.0 55 57 57 +2 9 Chief Runner 3 60.0 9 10.75 5.0 73 57 63 -10 10 Dancing In Winter 4 57.5 10 11.00 6.0 - 50 50 +50 11 Hiersdieding 2 60.0 11 12.00 3.5 45 60 60 +15 12 Dinero 4 60.0 12 23.75 6.0 - 55 55 +55 13 Macarina Mambo 5 57.5 13 26.25 0.0 48 62 62 +14 14 Plutus Power 5 60.0 14 99.99 0.0 - 67 67 +67 99 Pardon Me 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crowned Hornbill | 75 | 78 | 60 | +18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Greenlight Express | 70 | 68 | 60 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Winter In Paris | 66 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Silvery Surfer | - | 72 | 57 | +15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Serendipitous | 70 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Hat Man Line | 55 | 60 | 55 | +5 | 6.0 | ||
| 7 | Brooksider | 71 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tornado King | 55 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Chief Runner | 73 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Dancing In Winter | - | 70 | 50 | +20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hiersdieding | 45 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Dinero | - | 51 | 55 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Macarina Mambo | 48 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Plutus Power | - | - | 67 | -67 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Pardon Me | - | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points