Official NHA Assessment

Race 2: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

Line Horse
Cape Saffron
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Pumpkin Pie          3    60.0    1    0.00     2.5   -     4            4     +4
2    Cape Saffron         3    57.0    2    3.00     2.5   -     -            -     +0
3    Wearingofthegreen (  4    57.0    3    6.00     1.5   -     -            -     +0
4    Seventh Fleet        3    60.0    4    7.00     2.5   75    4            65    -10
5    War Reporter         3    60.0    5    8.00     2.5   -     4            4     +4
6    Afterburn            3    60.0    6    9.10     2.5   -     4            4     +4
7    Blurred Vision       3    60.0    7    11.90    2.5   69    4            59    -10
8    Jabberwocky          4    60.0    8    14.30    1.5   68    6            58    -10
9    Arctic Owl           3    60.0    9    24.00    2.5   -     4            4     +4
99   Divine Messenger     3    60.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     4            4     +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Pumpkin Pie - 92 4 +88 2.5 -
2 Cape Saffron Line - 82 - +82 2.5
3 Wearingofthegreen (IRE) - 61 - +61 1.5 -
4 Seventh Fleet 75 66 65 +1 2.5 -
5 War Reporter - 72 4 +68 2.5 -
6 Afterburn - 62 4 +58 2.5 -
7 Blurred Vision 69 56 59 -3 2.5 -
8 Jabberwocky 68 53 58 -5 1.5 -
9 Arctic Owl - 54 4 +50 2.5 -
99 Divine Messenger - 55 4 +51 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points