Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Cape Saffron
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pumpkin Pie 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 - 4 4 +4 2 Cape Saffron 3 57.0 2 3.00 2.5 - - - +0 3 Wearingofthegreen ( 4 57.0 3 6.00 1.5 - - - +0 4 Seventh Fleet 3 60.0 4 7.00 2.5 75 4 65 -10 5 War Reporter 3 60.0 5 8.00 2.5 - 4 4 +4 6 Afterburn 3 60.0 6 9.10 2.5 - 4 4 +4 7 Blurred Vision 3 60.0 7 11.90 2.5 69 4 59 -10 8 Jabberwocky 4 60.0 8 14.30 1.5 68 6 58 -10 9 Arctic Owl 3 60.0 9 24.00 2.5 - 4 4 +4 99 Divine Messenger 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 4 4 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pumpkin Pie | - | 92 | 4 | +88 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Cape Saffron Line | - | 82 | - | +82 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Wearingofthegreen (IRE) | - | 61 | - | +61 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Seventh Fleet | 75 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | War Reporter | - | 72 | 4 | +68 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Afterburn | - | 62 | 4 | +58 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Blurred Vision | 69 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Jabberwocky | 68 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Arctic Owl | - | 54 | 4 | +50 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Divine Messenger | - | 55 | 4 | +51 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points