Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: ALOE STAKES (3 year-old Fillies - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
Can't Say No
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Splicethemainbrace 3 60.5 1 0.00 4.0 108 95 95 -13 2 Ignitethelight 3 53.5 2 1.50 4.0 83 84 84 +1 3 Can't Say No 3 55.0 3 2.00 4.0 87 87 87 +0 4 Happy Holly 2 52.0 4 4.25 0.0 100 87 90 -10 5 Million Reasons 3 52.0 5 6.75 4.0 72 78 78 +6 6 Regina Lou 3 52.0 6 13.00 4.0 - 78 78 +78 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Splicethemainbrace | 108 | 108 | 95 | +13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ignitethelight | 83 | 74 | 84 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Can't Say No Line | 87 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Happy Holly | 100 | 89 | 90 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Million Reasons | 72 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Regina Lou | - | 54 | 78 | -24 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points