Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: Hollywoodbets KENILWORTH WELCOMES YOU OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Cliff Swallow
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Secret Passage 3 57.5 1 0.00 5.0 73 66 66 -7 2 Happy Wives 3 52.5 2 1.25 5.0 68 56 58 -10 3 Cliff Swallow 3 60.5 3 2.25 5.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Winter Emeralds 2 55.0 4 5.25 3.5 68 64 64 -4 5 City Of Port Louis 2 56.5 5 5.30 3.5 71 67 67 -4 6 Master Bomber 3 60.5 6 8.05 5.0 - 72 72 +72 7 Lucky Thirteen 4 54.5 7 8.80 6.0 50 58 58 +8 8 Manikongo (AUS) 3 60.5 8 9.80 5.0 - 72 72 +72 9 Dorset 3 55.0 9 10.20 5.0 71 61 61 -10 10 Skip One Beat 3 60.5 10 10.70 5.0 - 72 72 +72 11 Global Speak 3 60.5 11 13.45 5.0 - 72 72 +72 99 Midwicket 3 52.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Alessia Asheville 3 53.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Secret Passage | 73 | 77 | 66 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Happy Wives | 68 | 80 | 58 | +22 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cliff Swallow Line | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Winter Emeralds | 68 | 82 | 64 | +18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | City Of Port Louis | 71 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Master Bomber | - | 71 | 72 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lucky Thirteen | 50 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Manikongo (AUS) | - | 55 | 72 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dorset | 71 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Skip One Beat | - | - | 72 | -72 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Global Speak | - | 64 | 72 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Midwicket | - | 67 | 56 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Alessia Asheville | - | 57 | 58 | -1 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points