Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Vava Vegas
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Perini Palace 4 53.0 1 0.00 2.5 52 47 52 +0 2 Sahara Dawn 4 60.0 2 3.25 2.5 66 63 63 -3 3 Vava Vegas 5 61.5 3 5.50 0.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Bob Lee Swagger 4 55.0 4 6.30 2.5 59 51 51 -8 5 Great Barrier 4 59.5 5 6.40 2.5 65 60 60 -5 6 Can't Catch Me 5 53.0 6 7.00 0.0 52 52 52 +0 7 Call Me Master 8 60.5 7 9.30 0.0 67 67 67 +0 8 Kylie's Angel 3 55.0 8 10.10 5.0 64 46 54 -10 9 Count Your Chances 5 53.0 9 10.80 0.0 52 52 52 +0 10 Mix The Magic 3 53.5 10 11.60 5.0 53 43 43 -10 11 Samthewiseman 5 57.5 11 14.00 0.0 61 61 61 +0 12 Wilkies 2 52.0 12 29.50 0.0 50 50 50 +0 99 Red Knot 4 58.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perini Palace | 52 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sahara Dawn | 66 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Vava Vegas Line | 69 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Bob Lee Swagger | 59 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Great Barrier | 65 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Can't Catch Me | 52 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Call Me Master | 67 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kylie's Angel | 64 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Count Your Chances | 52 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mix The Magic | 53 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Samthewiseman | 61 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Wilkies | 50 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Red Knot | - | 62 | 57 | +5 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points