Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: CELEBRATING CENTURION MEMBER GINA GOLDSMITH'S BIRTHDAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Future Frequency
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bombers In The Sky 3 60.0 1 0.00 6.0 82 80 78 -4 2 Future Frequency 3 60.0 2 1.75 6.0 83 83 83 +0 3 Landoftherisingsun 2 60.0 3 1.95 0.0 80 95 95 +15 4 Ahead Of The Facts 3 60.0 4 4.45 6.0 78 80 80 +2 5 Heemstede 3 60.0 5 4.85 6.0 74 80 80 +6 6 Hospices De Beaune 3 60.0 6 7.60 6.0 70 80 80 +10 7 Asinantanga 3 60.0 7 12.85 6.0 77 80 80 +3 8 Pai Mei 2 60.0 8 13.60 0.0 60 92 92 +32 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bombers In The Sky | 82 | 84 | 78 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Future Frequency Line | 83 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Landoftherisingsun | 80 | 99 | 95 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ahead Of The Facts | 78 | 110 | 80 | +30 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Heemstede | 74 | 89 | 80 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Hospices De Beaune | 70 | 68 | 80 | -12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Asinantanga | 77 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pai Mei | 60 | 58 | 92 | -34 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points