Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Colorado Creek
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Emerald Green        4    58.5    1    0.00     6.0   77    77           77    +0
2    Colorado Creek       4    56.5    2    0.90     6.0   73    73           73    +0
3    Jeanne Darc          3    56.0    3    1.20     5.0   79    74           74    -5
4    Rani Of Jhansi       3    52.0    4    2.20     5.0   72    66           66    -6
5    Ubukhwebezana        4    60.0    5    2.60     6.0   80    80           80    +0
6    Harley's Fate        2    54.5    6    6.30     3.5   69    74           74    +5
7    Avernian Goddess     3    56.5    7    6.80     5.0   80    75           75    -5
8    Micke's Bomb         4    57.5    8    6.85     6.0   75    75           75    +0
9    Chelsea Flower       6    58.0    9    6.90     0.0   76    88           88    +12
10   Petit Verdot         2    57.0    10   7.30     3.5   74    79           79    +5
11   Amafort              3    54.5    11   7.90     5.0   79    71           71    -8
12   Edge Of Tomorrow     3    49.5    12   8.50     5.0   71    61           61    -10
13   Prom Queen           3    59.0    13   9.50     5.0   85    80           80    -5
14   Icy Lancaster        3    60.5    14   9.55     5.0   88    83           83    -5
15   Rugger Lover         2    55.0    15   9.60     3.5   78    75           75    -3
99   Tequila Sky          4    56.5    99   0.00     6.0   -     73           73    +0
99   Blowin In The Wind   3    56.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     75           75    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Emerald Green 77 75 77 -2 6.0 -
2 Colorado Creek Line 73 80 73 +7 6.0
3 Jeanne Darc 79 83 74 +9 5.0 -
4 Rani Of Jhansi 72 74 66 +8 5.0 -
5 Ubukhwebezana 80 93 80 +13 6.0 -
6 Harley's Fate 69 67 74 -7 3.5 -
7 Avernian Goddess 80 91 75 +16 5.0 -
8 Micke's Bomb 75 60 75 -15 6.0 -
9 Chelsea Flower 76 77 88 -11 0.0 -
10 Petit Verdot 74 75 79 -4 3.5 -
11 Amafort 79 61 71 -10 5.0 -
12 Edge Of Tomorrow 71 63 61 +2 5.0 -
13 Prom Queen 85 81 80 +1 5.0 -
14 Icy Lancaster 88 76 83 -7 5.0 -
15 Rugger Lover 78 79 75 +4 3.5 -
99 Tequila Sky - 74 73 +1 6.0 -
99 Blowin In The Wind - 63 75 -12 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points