Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 94 OPEN HANDICAP (3 year olds) (3 year olds)
Line Horse
Hat Trick Or Treat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Busstopinhounslow 3 57.0 1 0.00 5.0 88 77 88 +0 2 Hat Trick Or Treat 2 56.5 2 3.30 0.0 87 87 87 +0 3 Twelve Oclock High 2 58.5 3 3.50 0.0 91 91 91 +0 4 Don't Cry For Me 3 60.0 4 3.60 5.0 94 84 84 -10 5 The Cane Train 3 55.0 5 4.90 5.0 84 73 74 -10 99 On Target 3 58.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Spumante Dolce 3 57.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busstopinhounslow | 88 | 110 | 88 | +22 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hat Trick Or Treat Line | 87 | 76 | 87 | -11 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Twelve Oclock High | 91 | 91 | 91 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Don't Cry For Me | 94 | 103 | 84 | +19 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | The Cane Train | 84 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | On Target | - | 95 | 79 | +16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Spumante Dolce | - | 112 | 78 | +34 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points