Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BREEDERS GUINEAS PLATE (Fillies) (For 3 year-old Fillies)
Line Horse
Can't Say No
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Splicethemainbrace 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 108 88 88 -20 2 Can't Say No 3 58.0 2 1.75 4.0 87 87 87 +0 3 Suchalife 3 54.0 3 2.00 4.0 80 79 79 -1 4 State Secret 2 54.0 4 3.00 0.0 83 86 86 +3 5 Ginger Palace 3 54.0 5 15.25 4.0 73 76 76 +3 99 Haphazard 3 54.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Splicethemainbrace | 108 | 108 | 88 | +20 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Can't Say No Line | 87 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Suchalife | 80 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | State Secret | 83 | 85 | 86 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ginger Palace | 73 | 55 | 76 | -21 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Haphazard | - | 67 | 76 | -9 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points