Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: PROGRESS PLATE (For Maidens & 1,2 & 3 time winners)
Line Horse
River Power
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 4
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 4
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 4
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jet Green 4 52.0 1 0.00 2.5 57 65 63 +6 2 River Power 3 59.0 2 2.50 5.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Cosmic Event 5 57.5 3 6.00 0.0 86 81 81 -5 4 Guerra 4 60.0 4 7.75 2.5 84 81 81 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jet Green | 57 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | River Power Line | 76 | 97 | 76 | +21 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Cosmic Event | 86 | 70 | 81 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Guerra | 84 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points