Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: CITY OF CAPE TOWN POLITICIAN STAKES (Grade 3) (Open to all 3 year olds - Derby Trial)
Line Horse
Dawn Till Dusk
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Zeitz 3 55.5 1 0.00 6.0 85 77 77 -8 2 Garrix 3 58.5 2 2.75 6.0 95 85 85 -10 3 Native Ruler 3 55.5 3 3.05 6.0 85 79 79 -6 4 Dawn Till Dusk 2 57.0 4 3.55 0.0 93 93 93 +0 5 Sail The Seas 2 60.0 5 4.55 0.0 103 98 98 -5 6 Regulation 3 55.5 6 4.95 6.0 88 77 78 -10 7 Major Master 3 55.5 7 5.45 6.0 88 77 78 -10 8 Commander Green 2 55.5 8 5.95 0.0 83 89 89 +6 9 Wild Intent 3 58.5 9 6.25 6.0 96 83 86 -10 10 Express Yourself 2 55.5 10 6.30 0.0 86 89 89 +3 11 French Flame 2 58.5 11 13.05 0.0 98 95 95 -3 99 Pinot Grigio 3 55.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zeitz | 85 | 104 | 77 | +27 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Garrix | 95 | 123 | 85 | +38 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Native Ruler | 85 | 123 | 79 | +44 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dawn Till Dusk Line | 93 | 94 | 93 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Sail The Seas | 103 | 127 | 98 | +29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Regulation | 88 | 105 | 78 | +27 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Major Master | 88 | 100 | 78 | +22 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Commander Green | 83 | 83 | 89 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Wild Intent | 96 | 110 | 86 | +24 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Express Yourself | 86 | 74 | 89 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | French Flame | 98 | 82 | 95 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Pinot Grigio | - | 93 | 77 | +16 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points