Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 1 FEBRUARY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Smelting
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Komati River 3 61.5 1 0.00 5.0 78 61 78 +0 2 Smelting 7 52.5 2 0.05 0.0 53 53 53 +0 3 Prized Platinum 3 55.5 3 1.25 5.0 59 49 49 -10 4 Samoa 10 53.0 4 1.65 0.0 62 54 54 -8 5 Pacific 4 56.0 5 1.95 6.0 60 48 50 -10 6 King Rahul 4 57.0 6 2.75 6.0 62 50 52 -10 7 Twice As Wild 6 51.0 7 3.15 0.0 55 50 50 -5 8 Mariachi Madness 2 56.0 8 3.75 3.5 60 53 53 -7 9 Life Goes On 7 55.0 9 4.50 0.0 57 58 58 +1 10 Gal Gadot 8 52.0 10 5.80 0.0 50 52 52 +2 11 Circus Lights 5 60.0 11 99.99 0.0 68 68 68 +0 99 Oriental Bouquet 4 57.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Phala Millions 4 53.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 43 43 +0 99 Delphi Dancer 3 51.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 41 41 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Komati River | 78 | 93 | 78 | +15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Smelting Line | 53 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Prized Platinum | 59 | 72 | 49 | +23 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Samoa | 62 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pacific | 60 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | King Rahul | 62 | 63 | 52 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Twice As Wild | 55 | 51 | 50 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mariachi Madness | 60 | 57 | 53 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Life Goes On | 57 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Gal Gadot | 50 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Circus Lights | 68 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Oriental Bouquet | - | 56 | 50 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Phala Millions | - | 66 | 43 | +23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Delphi Dancer | - | 59 | 41 | +18 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points