Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Palace Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Potberrie 2 62.5 1 0.00 0.0 95 103 95 +0 2 Lava Fire 3 55.0 2 2.20 5.0 80 81 81 +1 3 Palace Dancer 3 58.5 3 3.20 5.0 87 87 87 +0 4 Quantum 5 59.0 4 3.45 0.0 78 97 97 +19 5 Coppola 4 58.0 5 4.75 2.5 76 89 89 +13 6 Theres A Light 4 58.5 6 5.55 2.5 77 90 90 +13 7 Royal Force 3 61.0 7 6.55 5.0 92 90 90 -2 8 Hazlo Grande 3 58.0 8 8.35 5.0 76 84 84 +8 9 Sacambaya 2 57.0 9 10.75 0.0 74 92 92 +18 10 Can You Danse 3 58.5 10 11.25 5.0 87 85 85 -2 99 Legendary 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potberrie | 95 | 105 | 95 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lava Fire | 80 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Palace Dancer Line | 87 | 88 | 87 | +1 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Quantum | 78 | 67 | 97 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Coppola | 76 | 83 | 89 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Theres A Light | 77 | 76 | 90 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Royal Force | 92 | 104 | 90 | +14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hazlo Grande | 76 | 74 | 84 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sacambaya | 74 | 72 | 92 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Can You Danse | 87 | 73 | 85 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Legendary | - | 69 | 88 | -19 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points