Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 30 JANUARY FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
The Navy Lark
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Phantom Express 4 57.5 1 0.00 6.0 72 72 72 +0 2 Arilena 6 53.5 2 0.40 0.0 72 76 76 +4 3 Enchanting Lady 2 57.0 3 1.30 3.5 71 76 76 +5 4 The Navy Lark 4 60.0 4 1.70 6.0 77 77 77 +0 5 Quasikat 3 58.0 5 1.90 5.0 80 75 75 -5 6 Glawari 2 55.0 6 2.40 3.5 67 72 72 +5 7 Waitforgreenlight 2 56.5 7 4.10 3.5 70 75 75 +5 8 Royal Horizon 3 54.5 8 4.30 5.0 66 68 68 +2 9 Si Veloce 4 48.0 9 6.00 6.0 53 53 53 +0 10 Ilha Da Orange 4 58.0 10 6.20 6.0 73 73 73 +0 11 Flight Of A Condor 3 58.5 11 7.10 5.0 81 76 76 -5 12 Together Again 5 52.0 12 7.35 0.0 59 73 73 +14 13 Faithful Neo 3 60.0 13 9.25 5.0 84 79 79 -5 99 Smelting 7 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phantom Express | 72 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Arilena | 72 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Enchanting Lady | 71 | 67 | 76 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | The Navy Lark Line | 77 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 6.0 | ||
| 5 | Quasikat | 80 | 83 | 75 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Glawari | 67 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Waitforgreenlight | 70 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Horizon | 66 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Si Veloce | 53 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ilha Da Orange | 73 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Flight Of A Condor | 81 | 85 | 76 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Together Again | 59 | 55 | 73 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Faithful Neo | 84 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Smelting | - | 52 | 73 | -21 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points