Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Find Me Unafraid
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sabina's Prodigy 4 55.5 1 0.00 2.0 87 83 87 +0 2 Jacob's Ladder 4 53.5 2 1.50 2.0 83 84 84 +1 3 Find Me Unafraid 4 59.5 3 2.50 2.0 95 95 95 +0 4 Palo Alto 7 52.5 4 4.50 0.0 81 82 82 +1 5 Cairon 5 52.0 5 5.00 0.0 83 80 80 -3 6 French Declaration 4 54.0 6 7.25 2.0 83 80 80 -3 7 First Street 5 60.0 7 8.00 0.0 96 96 96 +0 8 Great Warrior 5 54.0 8 15.25 0.0 83 84 84 +1 9 Nimcha 6 60.0 9 99.99 0.0 96 96 96 +0 99 Blackball 7 64.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 104 104 +0 99 Seven Patriots 5 62.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 101 101 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina's Prodigy | 87 | 91 | 87 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jacob's Ladder | 83 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Find Me Unafraid Line | 95 | 85 | 95 | -10 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Palo Alto | 81 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cairon | 83 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | French Declaration (AUS) | 83 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | First Street | 96 | 97 | 96 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Great Warrior | 83 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Nimcha | 96 | 96 | 96 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blackball | - | 100 | 104 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Seven Patriots | - | 83 | 101 | -18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points