Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 69 & below)

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Line Horse
Mac Hardy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Porfirio             6    61.5    1    0.00     0.0   62    66           66    +4
2    Mac Hardy            4    58.5    2    2.90     2.5   57    57           57    +0
3    Numzaan              2    61.5    3    3.20     0.0   63    68           68    +5
4    El Draque            5    61.5    4    4.30     0.0   63    66           66    +3
5    Brass Bell           8    58.5    5    7.90     0.0   57    60           60    +3
6    Breath Of Magic      4    60.0    6    9.20     2.5   61    58           58    -3
7    Lake Como            3    58.5    7    10.20    4.0   61    52           52    -9
8    Bally Magic          6    61.5    8    10.60    0.0   64    66           66    +2
9    Double Olympic       4    60.0    9    10.85    2.5   60    58           58    -2
10   Copacabana           4    59.0    10   11.45    2.5   63    56           56    -7
11   Uncle Lucky          2    61.5    11   11.50    0.0   64    66           66    +2
12   Thesupernovastar     3    53.5    12   13.00    4.0   61    42           51    -10
99   National Dream       6    64.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     71           71    +0
99   Viva De Janeiro      5    64.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     71           71    +0
99   Lou Lou The Legend   3    57.0    99   0.00     4.0   -     49           49    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Porfirio 62 88 66 +22 0.0 -
2 Mac Hardy Line 57 64 57 +7 2.5
3 Numzaan 63 79 68 +11 0.0 -
4 El Draque 63 57 66 -9 0.0 -
5 Brass Bell 57 55 60 -5 0.0 -
6 Breath Of Magic 61 60 58 +2 2.5 -
7 Lake Como 61 61 52 +9 4.0 -
8 Bally Magic 64 60 66 -6 0.0 -
9 Double Olympic 60 53 58 -5 2.5 -
10 Copacabana 63 74 56 +18 2.5 -
11 Uncle Lucky 64 61 66 -5 0.0 -
12 Thesupernovastar 61 56 51 +5 4.0 -
99 National Dream - 68 71 -3 0.0 -
99 Viva De Janeiro - 50 71 -21 0.0 -
99 Lou Lou The Legend - 59 49 +10 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points