Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 18 FEBRUARY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Captain Efficient
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Var Park 5 61.0 1 0.00 0.0 74 81 74 +0 2 Tiger Storm 3 60.5 2 1.70 5.0 80 70 70 -10 3 Jet Cat 9 52.0 3 3.30 0.0 54 63 63 +9 4 Captain Efficient 2 58.0 4 4.10 3.5 68 68 68 +0 5 Commander Of All 2 56.0 5 4.50 3.5 64 64 64 +0 6 Smith And Wesson 2 61.5 6 4.75 3.5 75 75 75 +0 7 Lonely As A Cloud 3 60.0 7 5.45 5.0 79 69 69 -10 8 In The Ether 6 57.5 8 5.75 0.0 67 74 74 +7 9 Wings Of Nike 6 60.5 9 9.00 0.0 73 80 80 +7 99 Pacific 4 54.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Var Park | 74 | 87 | 74 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tiger Storm | 80 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jet Cat | 54 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Captain Efficient Line | 68 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 3.5 | ||
| 5 | Commander Of All | 64 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Smith And Wesson | 75 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Lonely As A Cloud | 79 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | In The Ether | 67 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Wings Of Nike | 73 | 68 | 80 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Pacific | - | 50 | 55 | -5 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points