Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Bright Future
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Grand Oasis 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.5 74 65 65 -9 2 Chili Bomb 3 60.0 2 4.25 4.5 72 65 65 -7 3 Brooksider 3 60.0 3 9.00 4.5 68 65 65 -3 4 House Of Sussex 4 60.0 4 10.75 5.0 59 64 64 +5 5 Velvet Valour 3 60.0 5 11.00 4.5 67 65 65 -2 6 Top Dollar 5 60.0 6 12.25 0.0 51 74 74 +23 7 Mitredat 3 60.0 7 14.75 4.5 57 65 65 +8 8 Mafiabagsthemoney 5 60.0 8 15.75 0.0 27 74 74 +47 9 Tornado King 3 60.0 9 99.92 4.5 55 65 65 +10 99 Bright Future 3 60.0 99 9.50 4.5 65 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Oasis | 74 | 72 | 65 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Chili Bomb | 72 | 76 | 65 | +11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Brooksider | 68 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | House Of Sussex | 59 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Velvet Valour | 67 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Top Dollar | 51 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mitredat | 57 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Mafiabagsthemoney | 27 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tornado King | 55 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bright Future Line | 65 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 4.5 |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points