Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 8 FEBRUARY FM 76 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Perini Palace
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Last Ginger 4 56.5 1 0.00 2.0 69 77 69 +0 2 Accept Cookies 3 58.0 2 0.05 4.0 80 76 76 -4 3 Boom Boom 4 60.0 3 0.15 2.0 76 84 84 +8 4 Perini Palace 4 48.0 4 0.25 2.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Mighty Goddess 2 59.0 5 0.65 0.0 74 91 91 +17 6 Northern Kitten 3 52.0 6 3.45 4.0 58 65 65 +7 7 Faithful Neo 3 58.0 7 6.70 4.0 80 76 76 -4 8 Quasikat 3 58.0 8 6.75 4.0 80 76 76 -4 9 Arctic Vixen 2 57.0 9 7.25 0.0 70 82 82 +12 10 Lucy In The Sky 4 60.0 10 7.35 2.0 76 84 84 +8 11 Mix The Magic 3 52.0 11 8.25 4.0 52 64 64 +12 12 Midnight Fusion 4 59.0 12 25.75 2.0 74 82 82 +8 99 Mocha Macaroon 4 58.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Last Ginger | 69 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Accept Cookies | 80 | 94 | 76 | +18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Boom Boom | 76 | 81 | 84 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Perini Palace Line | 60 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Mighty Goddess | 74 | 73 | 91 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Northern Kitten | 58 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Faithful Neo | 80 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Quasikat | 80 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Arctic Vixen | 70 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lucy In The Sky | 76 | 74 | 84 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mix The Magic | 52 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Midnight Fusion | 74 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mocha Macaroon | - | 72 | 80 | -8 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points