Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Oranjemund
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Oranjemund 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 66 66 66 +0 2 Lord Quinn 4 60.0 2 9.00 2.5 53 66 66 +13 3 Welsh Starlet 3 56.5 3 9.25 5.0 62 54 54 -8 4 Kinnikinnik 2 60.0 4 9.75 0.0 75 71 71 -4 5 Top Dollar 5 60.0 5 14.00 0.0 49 71 71 +22 6 Visionary Dreamer 3 60.0 6 16.50 5.0 58 61 61 +3 7 Come On You Spurs 2 60.0 7 17.25 0.0 51 71 71 +20 8 Take A Mulligan 4 60.0 8 19.50 2.5 57 66 66 +9 9 Super Casanova 2 60.0 9 23.00 0.0 62 71 71 +9 10 Heart Of Thieves 4 60.0 10 99.99 2.5 45 66 66 +21 99 American Matador 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oranjemund Line | 66 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 2.5 | ||
| 2 | Lord Quinn | 53 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Welsh Starlet | 62 | 63 | 54 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Kinnikinnik | 75 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Top Dollar | 49 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Visionary Dreamer | 58 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Come On You Spurs | 51 | 51 | 71 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Take A Mulligan | 57 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Super Casanova | 62 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Heart Of Thieves | 45 | 45 | 66 | -21 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | American Matador | - | 71 | 61 | +10 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points