Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 14 FEBRUARY MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dubai Hills
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Forest Spy 2 62.0 1 0.00 3.0 86 90 86 +0 2 Champonelle 4 54.0 2 0.05 5.0 70 70 70 +0 2 Abound 4 60.5 2 0.05 5.0 83 83 83 +0 4 Dubai Hills 4 57.5 4 1.55 5.0 77 77 77 +0 5 Explosive Speed 2 56.0 5 1.65 3.0 74 78 78 +4 6 Masked Vigilante 3 60.5 6 2.65 4.5 83 84 84 +1 7 Greenlight Express 3 52.0 7 4.40 4.5 70 67 67 -3 8 Son Of Zeus 3 60.0 8 4.90 4.5 82 83 83 +1 9 My Ami Beach 6 57.5 9 4.95 0.0 77 87 87 +10 10 French Impact 2 56.5 10 6.20 3.0 75 79 79 +4 11 Donny Tee 4 61.5 11 7.70 5.0 85 85 85 +0 12 Graduation Time 4 54.5 12 9.70 5.0 71 71 71 +0 13 Whatever Next 6 61.5 13 9.95 0.0 85 95 95 +10 14 Roomformanoeuvre 4 56.0 14 15.20 5.0 74 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forest Spy | 86 | 85 | 86 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Champonelle | 70 | 87 | 70 | +17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Abound | 83 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dubai Hills Line | 77 | 95 | 77 | +18 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Explosive Speed | 74 | 68 | 78 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Masked Vigilante | 83 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Greenlight Express | 70 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Son Of Zeus | 82 | 81 | 83 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | My Ami Beach | 77 | 70 | 87 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | French Impact | 75 | 72 | 79 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Donny Tee | 85 | 68 | 85 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Graduation Time | 71 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Whatever Next | 85 | 73 | 95 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Roomformanoeuvre | 74 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points