Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST PROGRESS PLATE (For Maidens,1, 2 & 3 Time Winners)
Line Horse
Le Premiere
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 King Of Spin 3 58.5 1 0.00 3.0 82 86 78 -4 2 Sovereign Grant 4 57.0 2 0.40 2.0 100 90 90 -10 3 Littleblackvelvet 4 59.5 3 7.60 2.0 86 90 90 +4 4 Le Premiere 4 58.0 4 8.10 2.0 87 87 87 +0 5 Heaven's Will 3 59.5 5 10.00 3.0 73 88 88 +15 6 Mr Hotstepper 2 60.0 6 18.90 0.0 90 95 95 +5 7 Shiny Bob 4 56.5 7 21.00 2.0 69 84 84 +15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Of Spin | 82 | 91 | 78 | +13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sovereign Grant | 100 | 92 | 90 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Littleblackvelvet | 86 | 77 | 90 | -13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Le Premiere Line | 87 | 84 | 87 | -3 | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Heaven's Will | 73 | 62 | 88 | -26 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mr Hotstepper | 90 | 87 | 95 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Shiny Bob | 69 | 60 | 84 | -24 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points