Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 96)

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Line Horse
Rosh Kedesh
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Tenango              4    61.0    1    0.00     5.0   98    88           88    -10
2    Rosh Kedesh          5    55.5    2    2.00     0.0   87    87           87    +0
3    Arctic Wizard        3    58.0    3    2.10     4.5   98    83           88    -10
4    Captain West         3    59.0    4    3.35     4.5   100   85           90    -10
5    Oliver               5    61.0    5    3.85     0.0   98    98           98    +0
6    Phutulicious         3    53.5    6    5.35     4.5   83    74           74    -9
7    Escarpment           4    54.5    7    6.10     5.0   85    75           75    -10
8    Surge Of Power       2    52.5    8    6.40     3.0   87    75           77    -10
9    Silver Crown         2    57.5    9    6.45     3.0   91    85           85    -6
10   Dumbledore           4    59.0    10   8.70     5.0   94    84           84    -10
99   Nordic Chief         4    58.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     83           83    +0
99   We Have Touchdown    3    57.0    99   0.00     4.5   -     81           81    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Tenango 98 126 88 +38 5.0 -
2 Rosh Kedesh Line 87 88 87 +1 0.0
3 Arctic Wizard 98 110 88 +22 4.5 -
4 Captain West 100 102 90 +12 4.5 -
5 Oliver 98 97 98 -1 0.0 -
6 Phutulicious 83 74 74 ✓ Match 4.5 -
7 Escarpment 85 79 75 +4 5.0 -
8 Surge Of Power 87 80 77 +3 3.0 -
9 Silver Crown 91 84 85 -1 3.0 -
10 Dumbledore 94 105 84 +21 5.0 -
99 Nordic Chief - 94 83 +11 5.0 -
99 We Have Touchdown - 89 81 +8 4.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points