Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 13 FEBRUARY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Glawari
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mariachi Madness 2 53.5 1 0.00 3.0 59 62 59 +0 2 Warm Winter Nite 2 62.0 2 0.40 3.0 76 79 79 +3 3 Glawari 2 55.0 3 0.70 3.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Sakhala Is'Cathulo 3 61.0 4 2.00 4.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Samoa 10 50.5 5 2.25 0.0 61 62 62 +1 6 Pretty Precious 3 60.0 6 5.50 4.5 72 72 72 +0 7 The Navy Lark 4 58.5 7 8.50 5.0 77 68 68 -9 8 Si Veloce 4 52.0 8 9.25 5.0 53 55 55 +2 9 Can't Catch Me 5 52.5 9 11.50 0.0 51 66 66 +15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariachi Madness | 59 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Warm Winter Nite | 76 | 92 | 79 | +13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Glawari Line | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Sakhala Is'Cathulo | 74 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Samoa | 61 | 64 | 62 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pretty Precious | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | The Navy Lark | 77 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Si Veloce | 53 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Can't Catch Me | 51 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points