Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 2 APRIL MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Burning Wings
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Val d'Orcia 3 59.0 1 0.00 3.5 99 95 99 +0 2 Burning Wings 4 58.0 2 3.25 4.0 92 92 92 +0 3 Willow's Wish 4 56.5 3 4.25 4.0 89 89 89 +0 4 All Of Me 6 58.5 4 5.25 0.0 93 101 101 +8 5 Captain Morisco 4 58.0 5 6.75 4.0 92 92 92 +0 6 Danilo Danilovitch 3 56.0 6 9.75 3.5 93 89 89 -4 7 Visiway 4 58.5 7 10.25 4.0 96 93 93 -3 8 Kuuma 3 54.5 8 16.00 3.5 90 86 86 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Val d'Orcia | 99 | 105 | 99 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Burning Wings Line | 92 | 64 | 92 | -28 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Willow's Wish | 89 | 96 | 89 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | All Of Me | 93 | 94 | 101 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Captain Morisco | 92 | 92 | 92 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Danilo Danilovitch | 93 | 89 | 89 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Visiway | 96 | 83 | 93 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kuuma | 90 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points