Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 2 APRIL MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Burning Wings
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Val d'Orcia          3    59.0    1    0.00     3.5   99    95           99    +0
2    Burning Wings        4    58.0    2    3.25     4.0   92    92           92    +0
3    Willow's Wish        4    56.5    3    4.25     4.0   89    89           89    +0
4    All Of Me            6    58.5    4    5.25     0.0   93    101          101   +8
5    Captain Morisco      4    58.0    5    6.75     4.0   92    92           92    +0
6    Danilo Danilovitch   3    56.0    6    9.75     3.5   93    89           89    -4
7    Visiway              4    58.5    7    10.25    4.0   96    93           93    -3
8    Kuuma                3    54.5    8    16.00    3.5   90    86           86    -4
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Val d'Orcia 99 105 99 +6 3.5 -
2 Burning Wings Line 92 64 92 -28 4.0
3 Willow's Wish 89 96 89 +7 4.0 -
4 All Of Me 93 94 101 -7 0.0 -
5 Captain Morisco 92 92 92 ✓ Match 4.0 -
6 Danilo Danilovitch 93 89 89 ✓ Match 3.5 -
7 Visiway 96 83 93 -10 4.0 -
8 Kuuma 90 86 86 ✓ Match 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points