Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: ORMOND FERRARIS OAKS TRIAL (For 3 year-old Fillies - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
Key Worker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Poplar Park 3 55.5 1 0.00 4.5 82 82 82 +0 2 Cocomelon 3 57.0 2 2.40 4.5 89 89 89 +0 3 Fetching Flyer 3 57.0 3 3.40 4.5 89 88 88 -1 4 Key Worker 3 55.5 4 4.00 4.5 84 84 84 +0 5 Mountain High 3 55.5 5 5.50 4.5 83 82 82 -1 6 Ancient Wisdom 3 57.0 6 5.75 4.5 88 85 85 -3 7 Lady Sabrina 3 54.0 7 8.00 4.5 76 79 79 +3 8 Queen Of Love 3 60.0 8 8.25 4.5 99 91 91 -8 9 Silver Parasol 3 54.0 9 14.50 4.5 79 79 79 +0 10 Ruby Rebel 3 55.5 10 17.50 4.5 83 82 82 -1 99 Shes Everything 3 54.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 79 79 +0 99 Tuscan Star 3 54.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poplar Park | 82 | 87 | 82 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Cocomelon | 89 | 80 | 89 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Fetching Flyer | 89 | 84 | 88 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Key Worker Line | 84 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Mountain High | 83 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ancient Wisdom | 88 | 82 | 85 | -3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Lady Sabrina | 76 | 82 | 79 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Queen Of Love | 99 | 86 | 91 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Silver Parasol | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Ruby Rebel | 83 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Shes Everything | - | 71 | 79 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tuscan Star | - | 77 | 79 | -2 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points