Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Chilli Marmalade
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fully Committed 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.5 - 52 6 +6 2 Panning Silver 3 60.0 2 3.25 4.5 - 52 52 +52 3 Act On Snow 3 60.0 3 4.05 4.5 - 52 52 +52 4 Potato Salad 4 60.0 4 4.95 5.0 52 51 51 -1 5 Chilli Marmalade 5 60.0 5 6.95 0.0 61 61 61 +0 6 Panthera Uncia 3 60.0 6 7.95 4.5 74 52 64 -10 7 Chasing The Crown 3 56.0 7 12.75 4.5 54 44 44 -10 8 Superior 3 60.0 8 14.75 4.5 40 52 52 +12 9 Endizayo 3 60.0 9 15.00 4.5 78 52 68 -10 99 Desert Cloud 3 60.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fully Committed | - | 82 | 6 | +76 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Panning Silver | - | 68 | 52 | +16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Act On Snow | - | 64 | 52 | +12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Potato Salad | 52 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chilli Marmalade Line | 61 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Panthera Uncia | 74 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Chasing The Crown | 54 | 46 | 44 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Superior | 40 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Endizayo | 78 | 56 | 68 | -12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Desert Cloud | - | 78 | 52 | +26 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points