Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SAT 15 FEB FM 74 APPRENTICE DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Ode To The Ocean
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Time For Charity 5 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 57 72 57 +0 2 Ode To The Ocean 2 50.0 2 1.20 3.0 62 62 62 +0 3 Twice As Wild 6 49.5 3 3.70 0.0 54 67 67 +13 4 Royal Horizon 3 52.5 4 5.20 4.5 64 64 64 +0 5 Heirloom 4 57.0 5 7.00 5.0 68 72 72 +4 6 There She Goes 6 55.5 6 8.75 0.0 73 79 79 +6 7 Waitforgreenlight 2 54.0 7 9.05 3.0 70 70 70 +0 8 Ilha Da Orange 4 55.5 8 10.30 5.0 73 69 69 -4 9 My One And Only 3 56.0 9 11.70 4.5 80 71 71 -9 10 Gal Gadot 8 48.0 10 13.50 0.0 50 64 64 +14 99 Can't Catch Me 5 48.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Time For Charity | 57 | 61 | 57 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ode To The Ocean Line | 62 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Twice As Wild | 54 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Royal Horizon | 64 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Heirloom | 68 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | There She Goes | 73 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Waitforgreenlight | 70 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ilha Da Orange | 73 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | My One And Only | 80 | 82 | 71 | +11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Gal Gadot | 50 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Can't Catch Me | - | 58 | 64 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points