Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST CONDITIONAL NOVICE (For One Time Winners)
Line Horse
Gunsmoke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ideal Act 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.5 82 81 81 -1 2 Shavout 4 60.0 2 2.30 1.5 89 93 93 +4 3 Gunsmoke 3 51.5 3 2.45 2.5 74 74 74 +0 4 Voldemort 6 54.5 4 3.15 0.0 80 85 85 +5 5 Beechurst 3 54.0 5 3.20 2.5 73 79 79 +6 6 Beechamwood Boy 6 55.0 6 3.60 0.0 77 85 85 +8 7 Purple Flame 3 58.0 7 6.40 2.5 90 85 85 -5 8 Twosidestoastory 3 52.5 8 6.70 2.5 69 74 74 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ideal Act | 82 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Shavout | 89 | 70 | 93 | -23 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Gunsmoke Line | 74 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Voldemort | 80 | 81 | 85 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Beechurst | 73 | 67 | 79 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Beechamwood Boy | 77 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Purple Flame | 90 | 87 | 85 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Twosidestoastory | 69 | 62 | 74 | -12 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points