Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BET WITH TABGOLD - THE INTELLIGENT BET! MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Are You Sure
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Princess Goldie 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.5 75 72 72 -3 2 Are You Sure 2 60.0 2 0.80 3.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Lucienne 3 60.0 3 3.70 4.5 - 72 72 +72 4 Shesha Ntombi 3 60.0 4 6.60 4.5 - 72 72 +72 5 Austrian Beauty 3 56.0 5 6.70 4.5 - 64 64 +64 6 Midnight Hour 3 60.0 6 7.50 4.5 - 72 72 +72 7 Street Talk 3 60.0 7 8.30 4.5 - 72 72 +72 8 Ms Galore 3 60.0 8 8.35 4.5 - 72 72 +72 9 Lightinthedarkness 3 60.0 9 9.05 4.5 56 72 72 +16 10 Twiceascore 3 60.0 10 11.65 4.5 - 72 72 +72 11 Yinmn Blue 3 58.5 11 12.85 4.5 - 69 69 +69 12 Side Chick 3 60.0 12 13.75 4.5 - 72 72 +72 13 Noble Blue 3 60.0 13 32.15 4.5 - 72 72 +72 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princess Goldie | 75 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Are You Sure Line | 75 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Lucienne | - | 76 | 72 | +4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Shesha Ntombi | - | 74 | 72 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Austrian Beauty | - | 60 | 64 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Midnight Hour | - | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Street Talk | - | 68 | 72 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ms Galore | - | 68 | 72 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Lightinthedarkness | 56 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Twiceascore | - | 57 | 72 | -15 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Yinmn Blue | - | 50 | 69 | -19 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Side Chick | - | 45 | 72 | -27 | 4.5 | - | |
| 13 | Noble Blue | - | 17 | 72 | -55 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points