Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Dupont Emerald
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dupont Emerald 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.5 80 80 80 +0 2 Tipperary 3 60.0 2 1.75 4.5 73 80 80 +7 3 Saudi Sweep 3 60.0 3 2.75 4.5 79 80 80 +1 4 Potato Salad 4 60.0 4 6.00 5.0 64 79 79 +15 5 Chilli Marmalade 5 60.0 5 7.60 0.0 59 89 89 +30 6 Genovefa 3 60.0 6 8.10 4.5 - 80 80 +80 7 Bella Boop Boop 3 60.0 7 8.50 4.5 65 80 80 +15 8 La Chance 4 60.0 8 9.00 5.0 57 79 79 +22 9 Cape Flower 3 60.0 9 18.25 4.5 70 80 80 +10 10 Blazing Beauty 3 60.0 10 18.85 4.5 - 80 80 +80 11 Amber Eyes 3 60.0 11 19.15 4.5 58 80 80 +22 12 Red Sparrow 3 60.0 12 22.15 4.5 53 80 80 +27 99 Wearingofthegreen ( 4 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Black Hole Sun 4 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dupont Emerald Line | 80 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 4.5 | ||
| 2 | Tipperary | 73 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Saudi Sweep | 79 | 68 | 80 | -12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Potato Salad | 64 | 47 | 79 | -32 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chilli Marmalade | 59 | 48 | 89 | -41 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Genovefa | - | 72 | 80 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bella Boop Boop | 65 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | La Chance | 57 | 54 | 79 | -25 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Cape Flower | 70 | 57 | 80 | -23 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Blazing Beauty | - | 68 | 80 | -12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Amber Eyes | 58 | 50 | 80 | -30 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Red Sparrow | 53 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Wearingofthegreen (IRE) | - | 61 | 79 | -18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Black Hole Sun | - | 53 | 79 | -26 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points