Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL MEETING THURSDAY 6 MARCH MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Sail The Sky
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Phala Millions 4 53.5 1 0.00 5.0 53 53 53 +0 2 Sail The Sky 4 59.5 2 0.30 5.0 65 65 65 +0 3 Juniper Green 4 61.5 3 0.60 5.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Oriental Bouquet 4 57.0 4 2.60 5.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Twice As Wild 6 54.0 5 4.60 0.0 54 64 64 +10 6 Written In Stone 9 60.5 6 5.30 0.0 67 77 77 +10 7 Jet Cat 9 55.0 7 5.60 0.0 56 66 66 +10 8 Oklahoma Twister 4 60.5 8 7.00 5.0 67 67 67 +0 9 Stroke Of Mercy 5 58.5 9 7.25 0.0 63 73 73 +10 10 Dakota Cat 2 57.5 10 11.25 3.0 61 65 65 +4 99 Circus Lights 5 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Gal Gadot 8 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Eye Catching 4 52.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Good To Great 3 61.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phala Millions | 53 | 66 | 53 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sail The Sky Line | 65 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Juniper Green | 69 | 87 | 69 | +18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Oriental Bouquet | 60 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twice As Wild | 54 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Written In Stone | 67 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jet Cat | 56 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Oklahoma Twister | 67 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Stroke Of Mercy | 63 | 52 | 73 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Dakota Cat | 61 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Circus Lights | - | 64 | 78 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gal Gadot | - | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Eye Catching | - | 48 | 50 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Good To Great | - | 56 | 70 | -14 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points