Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 King Prawn 2 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 2 Pop Chart 2 60.0 2 0.50 3.0 - - - +0 3 Royal Kingdom 2 60.0 3 1.75 3.0 - - - +0 4 Supreme Judge 2 60.0 4 14.25 3.0 - - - +0 5 Jet Set Run 2 57.5 5 14.75 3.0 - - - +0 6 Dream Team Machine 2 60.0 6 20.25 3.0 - - - +0 7 Kookwater 2 60.0 7 22.50 3.0 - - - +0 8 Shockman 2 60.0 8 37.50 3.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Prawn | - | 98 | - | +98 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pop Chart | - | 95 | - | +95 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Royal Kingdom | - | 103 | - | +103 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Supreme Judge | - | 77 | - | +77 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jet Set Run | - | 80 | - | +80 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dream Team Machine | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kookwater | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Shockman | - | 58 | - | +58 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points