Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Rafa's Boy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Real War             2    57.0    1    0.00     2.0   79    74           74    -5
2    Gorgeous Guy         2    59.0    2    0.05     2.0   78    78           78    +0
3    Rafa's Boy           2    54.5    3    0.95     2.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Dapper               2    58.5    4    1.45     2.0   82    77           77    -5
5    Ingqwele             3    56.0    5    1.85     3.0   77    70           70    -7
6    Mar Del Plata        2    58.0    6    2.15     2.0   76    76           76    +0
7    Celtic Chief         3    59.5    7    2.55     3.0   79    77           77    -2
8    All The Time         3    57.5    8    4.85     3.0   83    73           73    -10
9    Lexican Point        2    55.0    9    6.25     2.0   73    70           70    -3
10   Yannakis             2    55.5    10   12.65    2.0   71    71           71    +0
11   Wissa's On Fire      4    57.0    11   13.85    3.5   74    71           71    -3
99   Night Rocker         2    57.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     74           74    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Real War 79 73 74 -1 2.0 -
2 Gorgeous Guy 78 81 78 +3 2.0 -
3 Rafa's Boy Line 69 79 69 +10 2.0
4 Dapper 82 72 77 -5 2.0 -
5 Ingqwele 77 84 70 +14 3.0 -
6 Mar Del Plata 76 77 76 +1 2.0 -
7 Celtic Chief 79 75 77 -2 3.0 -
8 All The Time 83 74 73 +1 3.0 -
9 Lexican Point 73 69 70 -1 2.0 -
10 Yannakis 71 67 71 -4 2.0 -
11 Wissa's On Fire 74 71 71 ✓ Match 3.5 -
99 Night Rocker - 77 74 +3 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points