Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: RACING TODAY DERBY PLATE (3 year olds)
Line Horse
Coral Creek
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mister Speaker 3 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 93 69 69 -24 2 Coral Creek 3 60.0 2 1.25 3.5 79 79 79 +0 3 Take Your Time 3 54.5 3 1.75 3.5 58 67 67 +9 4 Master Forester 3 60.0 4 3.00 3.5 93 76 83 -10 5 Waheed 3 58.0 5 99.92 3.5 105 69 95 -10 99 Ahead Of The Facts 3 58.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mister Speaker | 93 | 91 | 69 | +22 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Coral Creek Line | 79 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Take Your Time | 58 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Master Forester | 93 | 90 | 83 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Waheed | 105 | 105 | 95 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ahead Of The Facts | - | 110 | 69 | +41 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points