Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 17 APRIL MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Coppola
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Eiffel Tower 4 59.5 1 0.00 1.0 73 71 73 +0 2 Coppola 4 59.0 2 2.75 1.0 72 72 72 +0 3 Whispers Of War (AU 7 56.0 3 3.15 0.0 66 68 68 +2 4 Call Me Master 8 56.5 4 4.40 0.0 67 67 67 +0 5 Clarkson 4 59.5 5 4.80 1.0 73 71 71 -2 6 Sail The Sky 4 51.5 6 5.80 1.0 65 55 55 -10 7 Sea Shanty 4 53.5 7 6.00 1.0 66 59 59 -7 8 Sneak Preview 3 57.5 8 6.25 2.5 69 64 64 -5 9 Libeccio 5 57.5 9 9.50 0.0 69 69 69 +0 10 After Hours 7 57.5 10 11.25 0.0 69 69 69 +0 11 Kwagga Blitz 2 60.0 11 11.75 0.0 79 74 74 -5 12 Callaburn 2 49.0 12 15.00 0.0 60 52 52 -8 13 Chabal 3 59.0 13 17.75 2.5 77 67 67 -10 14 Circle Of Grace 4 57.5 14 19.25 1.0 69 67 67 -2 15 Thunderbird 4 59.5 15 24.50 1.0 73 71 71 -2 99 Kiss Of Fire 5 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Viva De Janeiro 5 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Vava Vegas 5 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eiffel Tower | 73 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Coppola Line | 72 | 83 | 72 | +11 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Whispers Of War (AUS) | 66 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Call Me Master | 67 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Clarkson | 73 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sail The Sky | 65 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sea Shanty | 66 | 71 | 59 | +12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sneak Preview | 69 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Libeccio | 69 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | After Hours | 69 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kwagga Blitz | 79 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Callaburn | 60 | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Chabal | 77 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 14 | Circle Of Grace | 69 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 1.0 | - | |
| 15 | Thunderbird | 73 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kiss Of Fire | - | 68 | 65 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Viva De Janeiro | - | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Vava Vegas | - | 58 | 67 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points