This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every runner with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this trainer would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each runner settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This trainer's record 2 runners with a priced SP, staking 2 units in total → a loss of -2.0 units, an ROI of -100.0% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only runners with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total runners. It assumes you take SP on every runner with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Jockey | Runners | W | SR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mr S Khumalo | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Mr S Mosia | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Horse | Runners | W |
|---|---|---|
| Amaan | 2 | 0 |
| Date | Venue | Race | Horse | Pos | Jockey | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 2014 | Turffontein | R4 — ACADEMIC WORKRIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (… | Amaan | 5 | Mr S Mosia | 7/2 |
| 12 Jan 2014 | Turffontein | R3 — MAIDEN PLATE (FILLIES & MARES) MAG… | Amaan | 2 | Mr S Khumalo | 8/1 |