This is a level-stakes simulation: imagine backing every ride with the same 1-unit bet at the starting price (SP). The line is the running total — rising when winners pay more than the losers cost, falling on a losing run. It measures whether blindly following this jockey would have made money, which is a tougher and more honest test than strike rate alone.
Each ride settles as:
win → + (decimal odds − 1) · lose → − 1.
So a winner at 5/1 returns +5.0 units, a winner at 2/1 returns +2.0, and every loser costs −1.0. Fractional SPs (e.g. 9/4) are converted to decimal — 9÷4 + 1 = 3.25 — before settling.
This jockey's record 4 rides with a priced SP, staking 4 units in total → a loss of -4.0 units, an ROI of -100.0% (profit ÷ total staked).
Only rides with a recorded SP are included, so the bet count here can be lower than total rides. It assumes you take SP on every ride with no selectivity — a baseline, not a betting tip. It ignores Rule 4 deductions, dead-heats, and any each-way element; a flat or rising line is the signal worth noting.
| Horse | Rides | W |
|---|---|---|
| Epic Thunder | 1 | 0 |
| Mhlabeni | 1 | 0 |
| Star Trooper | 1 | 0 |
| Jane's Vision | 1 | 0 |
| Date | Venue | Race | Horse | Pos | Trainer | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | Scottsville | R9 — Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAK… | Jane's Vision | 10 | — | 25/1 |
| 04 Aug 2025 | Fairview | R8 — NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 8… | Star Trooper | 13 | — | 125/1 |
| 04 Aug 2025 | Fairview | R6 — PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MR 96 HAN… | Mhlabeni | 6 | — | 25/1 |
| 04 Aug 2025 | Fairview | R1 — WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY OPEN… | Epic Thunder | 13 | — | 150/1 |