Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M)
Line Horse
Blue Quartz
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Amber 2 57.0 1 0.00 2.0 - 59 6 +6 2 Line In The Sky 4 60.0 2 0.30 3.5 71 62 62 -9 3 Blue Quartz 4 60.0 3 1.20 3.5 62 62 62 +0 4 Sasha Lee 3 60.0 4 1.60 3.0 - 63 63 +63 5 Trail Runner 3 60.0 5 2.20 3.0 76 63 66 -10 6 Blindfire 2 57.0 6 2.30 2.0 - 59 59 +59 7 Shamoon 3 60.0 7 2.70 3.0 70 63 63 -7 8 Genovefa 3 60.0 8 4.70 3.0 - 63 63 +63 9 Empress Wu 3 60.0 9 4.75 3.0 68 63 63 -5 10 Potato Salad 4 60.0 10 6.50 3.5 60 62 62 +2 11 Fire On Fire 2 57.0 11 8.00 2.0 - 59 59 +59 12 Misty Metal 3 60.0 12 8.50 3.0 69 63 63 -6 13 Chilli Marmalade 5 60.0 13 9.75 0.0 59 69 69 +10 14 Tipperary 3 60.0 14 10.50 3.0 75 63 65 -10 15 Denim Blue 3 56.0 15 22.75 3.0 57 55 55 -2 16 Green Extreme 3 60.0 16 99.99 3.0 73 63 63 -10 99 Lady Fortezza 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Blazing Sky 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Amber | - | 71 | 6 | +65 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Line In The Sky | 71 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Blue Quartz Line | 62 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Sasha Lee | - | 61 | 63 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Trail Runner | 76 | 75 | 66 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Blindfire | - | 81 | 59 | +22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Shamoon | 70 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Genovefa | - | 72 | 63 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Empress Wu | 68 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Potato Salad | 60 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Fire On Fire | - | 72 | 59 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Misty Metal | 69 | 71 | 63 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Chilli Marmalade | 59 | 48 | 69 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Tipperary | 75 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 15 | Denim Blue | 57 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 16 | Green Extreme | 73 | 73 | 63 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lady Fortezza | - | 54 | 63 | -9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blazing Sky | - | 46 | 63 | -17 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points