Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Winter Gamble
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ukuduma 2 57.0 1 0.00 2.0 - 69 6 +6 2 Ruby Rex 3 60.0 2 0.05 3.0 - 73 73 +73 3 Lowveld Lily 2 57.0 3 2.30 2.0 - 69 69 +69 4 Winter Gamble 3 60.0 4 2.40 3.0 73 73 73 +0 5 Duchess Of Paloma 3 60.0 5 2.90 3.0 72 73 73 +1 6 Fiery Frolic 2 57.0 6 3.65 2.0 - 69 69 +69 7 Larking About 3 57.5 7 4.65 3.0 - 68 68 +68 8 Given To Fly 3 60.0 8 7.15 3.0 - 73 73 +73 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ukuduma | - | 91 | 6 | +85 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ruby Rex | - | 74 | 73 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lowveld Lily | - | 109 | 69 | +40 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Winter Gamble Line | 73 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 3.0 | ||
| 5 | Duchess Of Paloma | 72 | 91 | 73 | +18 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fiery Frolic | - | 75 | 69 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Larking About | - | 55 | 68 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Given To Fly | - | 76 | 73 | +3 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points