Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Tough Terrain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Paratrooper          4    56.0    1    0.00     3.5   72    65           65    -7
2    Tough Terrain        5    60.5    2    0.20     0.0   81    81           81    +0
3    Jet Force            3    59.5    3    0.95     3.0   83    73           73    -10
4    Happy Days           2    59.0    4    1.00     2.0   82    74           74    -8
5    Circumbendibus       3    57.0    5    1.40     3.0   78    68           68    -10
6    Major Master         3    62.0    6    2.65     3.0   88    78           78    -10
7    Masterofthedesert    2    60.5    7    5.15     2.0   85    77           77    -8
8    Firingonallengines   4    56.0    8    5.45     3.5   72    65           65    -7
9    Secret Passage       3    58.0    9    5.55     3.0   80    70           70    -10
10   Street Outlaw        5    52.5    10   5.95     0.0   73    65           65    -8
11   All About Al         7    59.5    11   6.15     0.0   79    79           79    +0
12   Go It Alone          4    56.0    12   7.40     3.5   72    65           65    -7
13   Michael Faraday      2    56.0    13   7.90     2.0   72    68           68    -4
14   In The Bag           4    55.0    14   8.30     3.5   70    63           63    -7
15   Definitely Yes       2    60.5    15   8.35     2.0   85    77           77    -8
16   Elegant Noble        3    54.5    16   9.85     3.0   74    63           64    -10
17   Cavalry Commander    3    60.0    17   12.35    3.0   84    74           74    -10
99   Elsinore             3    56.5    99   0.00     3.0   -     67           67    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Paratrooper 72 73 65 +8 3.5 -
2 Tough Terrain Line 81 81 81 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Jet Force 83 117 73 +44 3.0 -
4 Happy Days 82 81 74 +7 2.0 -
5 Circumbendibus 78 97 68 +29 3.0 -
6 Major Master 88 100 78 +22 3.0 -
7 Masterofthedesert 85 86 77 +9 2.0 -
8 Firingonallengines 72 69 65 +4 3.5 -
9 Secret Passage 80 77 70 +7 3.0 -
10 Street Outlaw 73 78 65 +13 0.0 -
11 All About Al 79 78 79 -1 0.0 -
12 Go It Alone 72 69 65 +4 3.5 -
13 Michael Faraday 72 68 68 ✓ Match 2.0 -
14 In The Bag 70 61 63 -2 3.5 -
15 Definitely Yes 85 71 77 -6 2.0 -
16 Elegant Noble 74 70 64 +6 3.0 -
17 Cavalry Commander 84 76 74 +2 3.0 -
99 Elsinore - 80 67 +13 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points