Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Blown Away 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 - - - +0 2 Tower Of London 2 60.0 2 5.50 2.0 - - - +0 3 Arlu 2 60.0 3 5.60 2.0 - - - +0 4 Priceless Treasure 2 57.5 4 8.35 2.0 - - - +0 5 Ivy 2 57.5 5 8.85 2.0 - - - +0 6 Cherry Lane 2 57.5 6 12.85 2.0 - - - +0 7 Mind Freeze 2 57.5 7 20.10 2.0 - - - +0 8 Call My Bluff 2 57.5 8 22.10 2.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blown Away | - | 81 | - | +81 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tower Of London | - | 70 | - | +70 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Arlu | - | 68 | - | +68 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Priceless Treasure | - | 70 | - | +70 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ivy | - | 67 | - | +67 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cherry Lane | - | 66 | - | +66 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mind Freeze | - | 72 | - | +72 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Call My Bluff | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points