Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: #Youcanbetonus! MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Vegas Hi Rise
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Roaming Spirit 3 55.0 1 0.00 3.0 78 68 78 +0 2 Black Egret 3 63.5 2 0.80 3.0 91 85 85 -6 3 Vegas Hi Rise 6 55.5 3 2.20 0.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Hemisphere 3 56.0 4 2.40 3.0 80 70 70 -10 5 Tchaikovsky 6 58.5 5 3.40 0.0 81 81 81 +0 6 Blizzard Snow 3 56.5 6 3.45 3.0 81 71 71 -10 7 Longsword 2 60.0 7 3.65 2.0 84 80 80 -4 8 Esquevelle 3 63.0 8 4.05 3.0 90 84 84 -6 9 Open Highway 4 54.5 9 4.85 3.5 81 66 71 -10 10 Vibe Sa 2 60.0 10 5.10 2.0 84 80 80 -4 11 Cian The Conqueror 5 60.0 11 5.50 0.0 84 84 84 +0 12 Rock Of Bismantova 3 60.5 12 6.50 3.0 85 79 79 -6 13 Big Boy Bruce 2 57.0 13 6.55 2.0 78 74 74 -4 14 Qhawe Lami 4 60.0 14 6.95 3.5 84 77 77 -7 15 Purpleninjaturtle 4 58.0 15 11.95 3.5 80 73 73 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roaming Spirit | 78 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Black Egret | 91 | 90 | 85 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Vegas Hi Rise Line | 75 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Hemisphere | 80 | 83 | 70 | +13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tchaikovsky | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Blizzard Snow | 81 | 86 | 71 | +15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Longsword | 84 | 72 | 80 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Esquevelle | 90 | 86 | 84 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Open Highway | 81 | 94 | 71 | +23 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Vibe Sa | 84 | 92 | 80 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Cian The Conqueror | 84 | 81 | 84 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Rock Of Bismantova | 85 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Big Boy Bruce | 78 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Qhawe Lami | 84 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 15 | Purpleninjaturtle | 80 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points