Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 15 MAY WORK RIDERS MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M)
Line Horse
Madame Pompadour
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Like A Prayer 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 67 52 52 -15 2 Lilac Snow 2 60.0 2 4.30 0.0 64 56 56 -8 3 Madame Pompadour 2 60.0 3 5.00 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Saudi Sweep 3 60.0 4 5.20 2.0 74 52 64 -10 5 Sasha Lee 3 60.0 5 6.20 2.0 56 52 52 -4 6 Aftershock 3 60.0 6 6.80 2.0 60 52 52 -8 7 Potato Salad 4 60.0 7 7.00 1.0 60 54 54 -6 8 Sterling Silver 3 60.0 8 10.25 2.0 59 52 52 -7 9 American Socialite 2 57.0 9 15.50 0.0 - 50 50 +50 10 Whistling Strait 3 60.0 10 16.00 2.0 60 52 52 -8 99 Future Buzz 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 50 50 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Like A Prayer | 67 | 63 | 52 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lilac Snow | 64 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Madame Pompadour Line | 56 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Saudi Sweep | 74 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sasha Lee | 56 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Aftershock | 60 | 57 | 52 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Potato Salad | 60 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sterling Silver | 59 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | American Socialite | - | 52 | 50 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Whistling Strait | 60 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Future Buzz | - | - | 50 | -50 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points