Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Queue Wing
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mister Nibbles       3    56.0    1    0.00     2.5   77    71           71    -6
2    Terminator           4    59.5    2    0.30     1.0   79    86           86    +7
3    Queue Wing           7    56.0    3    1.10     0.0   80    80           80    +0
4    Ragnar The King      3    57.0    4    1.50     2.5   79    76           76    -3
5    Red Mountain         4    57.5    5    3.70     1.0   75    78           78    +3
6    Papa C               6    57.0    6    3.95     0.0   74    79           79    +5
7    Nocturnal Flight     3    59.0    7    4.45     2.5   78    77           77    -1
8    Rodriguez            6    58.0    8    5.75     0.0   76    80           80    +4
9    One Scotch           2    60.5    9    6.85     0.0   86    85           85    -1
10   Dancing On A Cloud   3    60.0    10   10.95    2.5   85    79           79    -6
11   Deputy Chief         3    56.0    11   14.65    2.5   77    71           71    -6
12   The Wolf             3    56.0    12   17.05    2.5   77    71           71    -6
99   Numzaan              2    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     73           73    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mister Nibbles 77 81 71 +10 2.5 -
2 Terminator 79 86 86 ✓ Match 1.0 -
3 Queue Wing Line 80 81 80 +1 0.0
4 Ragnar The King 79 66 76 -10 2.5 -
5 Red Mountain 75 77 78 -1 1.0 -
6 Papa C 74 73 79 -6 0.0 -
7 Nocturnal Flight 78 72 77 -5 2.5 -
8 Rodriguez 76 69 80 -11 0.0 -
9 One Scotch 86 77 85 -8 0.0 -
10 Dancing On A Cloud 85 70 79 -9 2.5 -
11 Deputy Chief 77 64 71 -7 2.5 -
12 The Wolf 77 71 71 ✓ Match 2.5 -
99 Numzaan - 79 73 +6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points