Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: RACING TODAY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Holocene
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gold Gunner 4 59.0 1 0.00 0.5 72 69 72 +0 2 Holocene 4 62.0 2 2.25 0.5 78 78 78 +0 3 Union Rose 3 61.0 3 3.25 2.0 80 72 72 -8 4 In The Green Zone 3 57.5 4 6.50 2.0 73 63 63 -10 5 Reach Forthe Stars 5 52.5 5 7.00 0.0 59 57 57 -2 6 Lt Alexander 2 60.5 6 8.25 0.0 75 73 73 -2 7 Fearless Badger 4 53.5 7 10.75 0.5 60 58 58 -2 8 Hospices De Beaune 3 60.0 8 11.50 2.0 78 68 68 -10 9 Karoo Gold 3 57.5 9 12.25 2.0 69 63 63 -6 10 A Place In The Sun 5 61.5 10 12.30 0.0 77 75 75 -2 11 Kohana 2 60.5 11 30.30 0.0 79 73 73 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Gunner | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Holocene Line | 78 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Union Rose | 80 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | In The Green Zone | 73 | 76 | 63 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Reach Forthe Stars | 59 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lt Alexander | 75 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fearless Badger | 60 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Hospices De Beaune | 78 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Karoo Gold | 69 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | A Place In The Sun | 77 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kohana | 79 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points