Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAB.CO.ZA MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Claw
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jordan 4 53.0 1 0.00 1.0 82 78 82 +0 2 Fetching Flyer 3 53.5 2 1.80 2.5 88 81 81 -7 3 Claw 4 54.5 3 2.60 1.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Vesuvio 5 55.5 4 3.50 0.0 87 88 88 +1 5 Star Coin 5 57.0 5 4.90 0.0 90 88 88 -2 6 Birthright 4 54.0 6 8.20 1.0 84 80 80 -4 7 Johnny Hero 5 56.5 7 10.50 0.0 89 87 87 -2 8 Flashy Apache 6 57.0 8 12.25 0.0 95 88 88 -7 9 Street Art 3 60.0 9 21.50 2.5 96 89 89 -7 10 Total Surrender 5 55.0 10 27.00 0.0 85 84 84 -1 11 Royal Edition 4 57.0 11 30.25 1.0 90 86 86 -4 99 La Moohal 4 60.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 92 92 +0 99 Kudzu 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan | 82 | 88 | 82 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fetching Flyer | 88 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Claw Line | 85 | 91 | 85 | +6 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Vesuvio | 87 | 85 | 88 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Star Coin | 90 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Birthright | 84 | 95 | 80 | +15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Johnny Hero | 89 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flashy Apache | 95 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Street Art | 96 | 78 | 89 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Total Surrender | 85 | 74 | 84 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Royal Edition | 90 | 92 | 86 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | La Moohal | - | 93 | 92 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kudzu | - | 80 | 84 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points