Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CITIZEN MR 104 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Leopold
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Indlamu 4 53.5 1 0.00 1.0 94 84 94 +0 2 City By The Sea 4 52.0 2 0.05 1.0 88 81 81 -7 3 Leopold 5 53.5 3 0.60 0.0 91 91 91 +0 4 Willow Express 7 58.5 4 1.60 0.0 101 99 99 -2 5 Theory Of Flight 4 55.5 5 1.75 1.0 95 91 91 -4 6 Irish Tractor 4 55.5 6 2.00 1.0 95 91 91 -4 7 Fight Song 4 53.0 7 2.40 1.0 90 85 85 -5 8 Tierra Del Fuego 6 60.5 8 4.50 0.0 105 100 100 -5 9 Youcanthurrylove 5 59.0 9 7.00 0.0 105 97 97 -8 10 Back To Black 4 53.0 10 9.00 1.0 90 83 83 -7 99 Noble Striker 3 55.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indlamu | 94 | 86 | 94 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | City By The Sea | 88 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Leopold Line | 91 | 79 | 91 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Willow Express | 101 | 82 | 99 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Theory Of Flight | 95 | 91 | 91 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Irish Tractor | 95 | 102 | 91 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fight Song | 90 | 94 | 85 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tierra Del Fuego | 105 | 104 | 100 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Youcanthurrylove | 105 | 86 | 97 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Back To Black | 90 | 89 | 83 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Noble Striker | - | 98 | 85 | +13 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points