Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Calida
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sail The Sky 4 60.5 1 0.00 0.5 67 63 67 +0 2 After Hours 7 61.5 2 0.30 0.0 69 71 71 +2 3 Libeccio 5 58.0 3 0.90 0.0 67 63 63 -4 4 Calida 2 61.5 4 1.30 0.0 69 69 69 +0 5 Flag Bearer 3 56.5 5 4.55 2.0 67 52 57 -10 6 Kotinos 3 60.5 6 5.15 2.0 67 60 60 -7 7 Callaburn 2 57.0 7 5.45 0.0 60 57 57 -3 8 Perini Palace 4 58.5 8 5.65 0.5 63 59 59 -4 9 Can't Catch Me 5 52.5 9 5.85 0.0 51 48 48 -3 10 Sahara Dawn 4 56.5 10 8.10 0.5 59 55 55 -4 11 Si Veloce 4 49.0 11 8.30 0.5 52 40 42 -10 12 Count Your Chances 5 58.0 12 11.55 0.0 62 59 59 -3 13 Stroke Of Mercy 5 56.0 13 11.85 0.0 58 55 55 -3 14 Written In Stone 9 60.5 14 16.35 0.0 67 64 64 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sail The Sky | 67 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | After Hours | 69 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Libeccio | 67 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Calida Line | 69 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Flag Bearer | 67 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Kotinos | 67 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Callaburn | 60 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Perini Palace | 63 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Can't Catch Me | 51 | 58 | 48 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sahara Dawn | 59 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Si Veloce | 52 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Count Your Chances | 62 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Stroke Of Mercy | 58 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Written In Stone | 67 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points